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Business Cycles Dynamics: Models and Tools by Iryna Sushko PDF

By Iryna Sushko

Enterprise cycle thought has been one of many quickest becoming fields in smooth nonlinear financial dynamics. The e-book is established round types of multiplier-accelerator variety, rising from Samuelson's seminal paintings, later built into nonlinear codecs by means of Hicks and Goodwin. those types left open ends, because the instruments then to be had didn't allow extra systematic research. the current scenario is various, as a result of emergence of recent tools additionally focusing worldwide research. the point of interest on classical, causal or recursive versions implies a deviation from present major flow company cycle thought, in response to ''rational expectations'', which in view of the opportunity of mathematical chaos turns into untenable.

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1983, Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields, Springer-Verlag (New York). , 1980, Dynamique Chaotique. Transition ordre-desordre, Cepadues:Toulouse. , 1980, Recurrences and discrete dynamic systems, Lecture notes in Mathematics, Springer. , 1979, "Sur la conjugaison differentiable de diffeomorphismes du cercle a des rotations", Publ. S. 49, pp. 5-233. , 1979, Bifurcation of Maps and Applications, North-Holland Publishing Company, Amsterdam. , 1980, Elementary Stability and Bifurcation Theory, Springer-Verlag (New York).

Examples in economic dynamic modelling can be found, for instance, among Kaldorian discrete-time models (see [11], [6]). Further examples are given in several chapters of this book. Let us consider the situation described in Fig. 16. In Fig. 16a we have an attracting closed invariant curve Ta (which may also follow from the situation described in Fig. 11-13), and a pair of cycles that have been created via a saddle-node bifurcation outside Fa- Such external cycles do not form an heteroclinic connection, whereas the stable set of the saddle S bounds the basin of attraction of the related attracting fixed points Ci of the map T^.

As in Fig. 12a, where the attracting set A is a fixed point. The stable set of the saddle separates the basins of attraction of A and P*. The branch a;i of W^ (5*) turns around P*. The branch ai of the unstable set W^ (5*) tends to P* whereas the cj-limit set of the points of the branch 0^2 is the attracting set A. After the homoclinic loop, or homoclinic tangle, of the two branches 33 1 Some Methods for the Global Analysis Figure 11: Qualitative representation of a mechanism leading to the appearance of an attracting closed curve.

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